Aleksander Barkov vs Auston Matthews
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.0% vs 53.9%). Look for Matthews on offensive-zone draws (58% H2H, 48 meetings). Barkov wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Matthews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 53.0% vs Matthews 53.9% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 90-80 in 170 meetings
Offensive zone
Barkov 54.7%
Defensive zone
Barkov 56.1%
Neutral zone
Barkov 54.1%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Barkov
Matthews
Head-to-Head Record
80
-
90
(170 meetings)
80
90
Barkov
Matthews
Last 10: Barkov 6-4 Matthews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
20
28
Barkov
Matthews
48 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
21
25
Barkov
Matthews
46 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barkov
39
37
Barkov
Matthews
76 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Matthews
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (10,680)
54.0% (9,298)
-1.6%
Power Play
58.1% (2,623)
55.5% (530)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (1,272)
49.8% (482)
-2.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthews shoots left. Barkov is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,144).
Barkov shoots left. Matthews is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (6,605).
Home / Away
Barkov
Matthews
Home
53.8% (7,227)
56.3% (5,065)
Away
52.2% (7,348)
51.5% (5,245)
By Period
Barkov
Matthews
P1
52.7%
55.5%
P2
53.4%
53.3%
P3
52.9%
52.8%
OT
53.0%
56.6%
Final 5 min
54.5%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
53.0%
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2025 | 3 | 16:22 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 3 | 11:36 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 3 | 03:20 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 2 | 02:36 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 1 | 18:57 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 3 | 19:42 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 3 | 15:09 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 3 | 13:07 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 3 | 04:26 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 2 | 15:16 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 2 | 06:19 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 1 | 17:16 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 1 | 16:02 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 1 | 11:54 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |