Aleksander Barkov vs Auston Matthews
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.5% vs 56.8%). Look for Barkov on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Barkov wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Matthews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.0% vs Matthews 56.3% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Barkov leads 12-8 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Barkov 68.9%
Defensive zone
Matthews 82.8%
Neutral zone
Matthews 65.4%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 59.4%
40.6%
59.4%
Barkov
Matthews
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
8
(20 meetings)
12
8
Barkov
Matthews
Last 10: Barkov 6-4 Matthews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
4
1
Barkov
Matthews
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
2
Barkov
Matthews
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barkov
7
5
Barkov
Matthews
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Matthews
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (704)
58.3% (943)
-2.8%
Power Play
62.3% (247)
55.7% (61)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (75)
50.7% (219)
-4.0%
On power play, Barkov has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthews shoots left. Barkov is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Barkov shoots left. Matthews is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Home / Away
Barkov
Matthews
Home
56.4% (550)
59.1% (528)
Away
56.7% (476)
55.1% (695)
By Period
Barkov
Matthews
P1
56.5%
56.2%
P2
55.5%
58.1%
P3
57.9%
56.4%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
58.7%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.5%
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2025 | 3 | 16:22 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 3 | 11:36 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 3 | 03:20 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 2 | 02:36 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 1 | 18:57 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 3 | 19:42 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 3 | 15:09 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 3 | 13:07 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 3 | 04:26 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 2 | 15:16 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 2 | 06:19 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 1 | 17:16 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 1 | 16:02 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 1 | 11:54 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |