Aleksander Barkov vs Barrett Hayton
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Barkov wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hayton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.0% vs Hayton 53.8% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 71.2%
Defensive zone
Hayton 54.0%
Neutral zone
Barkov 50.2%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Barkov
Hayton
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Barkov
Hayton
Last 5: Barkov 3-2 Hayton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
1
0
Barkov
Hayton
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Barkov
Hayton
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Hayton
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (704)
52.6% (817)
+2.9%
Power Play
62.3% (247)
63.3% (139)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (75)
53.1% (64)
-6.4%
On penalty kill, Hayton has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayton shoots left. Barkov is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Barkov shoots left. Hayton is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (684).
Home / Away
Barkov
Hayton
Home
56.4% (550)
53.9% (516)
Away
56.7% (476)
54.4% (504)
By Period
Barkov
Hayton
P1
56.5%
55.1%
P2
55.5%
55.0%
P3
57.9%
51.7%
OT
50.0%
69.2%
Final 5 min
58.7%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.5%
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2025 | OT | 02:53 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 3 | 05:22 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 2 | 11:11 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 8, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 8, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |