Scouting Report
Ben Smith holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Barkov wins 45.4% vs right-shot opponents — Smith shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 46.5% vs Smith 51.9% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 54.0%
Defensive zone
Smith 83.7%
Neutral zone
Smith 76.2%
Result
Ben Smith favored at 63.6%
36.4%
63.6%
Barkov
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Barkov
Smith
Last 6: Barkov 4-2 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
3
0
Barkov
Smith
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
2
Barkov
Smith
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barkov
1
0
Barkov
Smith
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (856)
54.1% (475)
-7.7%
Power Play
45.0% (120)
14.3% (7)
+30.7%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (26)
46.4% (112)
-4.1%
On power play, Barkov has a +30.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots right. Barkov is 45.4% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Barkov shoots left. Smith is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (432).
Home / Away
Barkov
Smith
Home
46.7% (561)
54.4% (274)
Away
45.4% (441)
50.3% (320)
By Period
Barkov
Smith
P1
46.6%
50.0%
P2
48.5%
53.4%
P3
43.2%
53.2%
OT
42.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
41.0%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
46.1%
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2015 | 2 | 10:43 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 3 | 19:12 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 3 | 05:36 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 3 | 01:04 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 2 | 04:47 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 1 | 03:29 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |