Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 53.0% vs Smith 51.8% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Barkov leads 12-6 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Barkov 91.1%
Defensive zone
Smith 62.4%
Neutral zone
Barkov 61.0%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 71.2%
71.2%
28.8%
Barkov
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
6
(18 meetings)
12
6
Barkov
Smith
Last 10: Barkov 8-2 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
10
0
Barkov
Smith
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
5
Barkov
Smith
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barkov
2
1
Barkov
Smith
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (10,680)
53.7% (1,269)
-1.3%
Power Play
58.1% (2,623)
55.6% (27)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (1,272)
45.5% (369)
+2.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots right. Barkov is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (5,431).
Barkov shoots left. Smith is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Home / Away
Barkov
Smith
Home
53.8% (7,227)
53.8% (860)
Away
52.2% (7,348)
49.8% (805)
By Period
Barkov
Smith
P1
52.7%
52.1%
P2
53.4%
50.2%
P3
52.9%
53.3%
OT
53.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
54.5%
53.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
53.0%
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2016 | 3 | 12:32 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 2 | 12:50 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 3 | 19:17 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 2 | 19:55 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 3 | 13:20 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 2 | 19:23 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 2 | 00:58 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 29, 2016 | 2 | 13:14 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 17, 2016 | 2 | 07:39 | Neutral | Ben Smith |
| Mar 17, 2016 | 1 | 19:47 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Mar 17, 2016 | 1 | 17:55 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Feb 26, 2015 | 2 | 10:43 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 3 | 19:12 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 3 | 05:36 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 3 | 01:04 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 2 | 04:47 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 1 | 03:29 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |