Aleksander Barkov vs Brady Tkachuk
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Barkov wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Tkachuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.0% vs Tkachuk 51.0% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 67.3%
Defensive zone
Barkov 53.4%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 63.2%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 67.3%
32.7%
67.3%
Barkov
Tkachuk
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Barkov
Tkachuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
0
2
Barkov
Tkachuk
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Tkachuk
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (704)
51.0% (194)
+4.5%
Power Play
62.3% (247)
51.7% (151)
+10.6%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (75)
50.0% (2)
-3.3%
On power play, Barkov has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tkachuk shoots left. Barkov is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Barkov shoots left. Tkachuk is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (218).
Home / Away
Barkov
Tkachuk
Home
56.4% (550)
50.0% (140)
Away
56.7% (476)
52.2% (207)
By Period
Barkov
Tkachuk
P1
56.5%
54.3%
P2
55.5%
50.0%
P3
57.9%
49.5%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
58.7%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.5%
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 12:52 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 12:19 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |