Scouting Report
Brian Boyle holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Barkov wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Boyle shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 46.5% vs Boyle 50.7% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 50.6%
Defensive zone
Boyle 86.2%
Neutral zone
Boyle 69.2%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 68.5%
31.5%
68.5%
Barkov
Boyle
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Barkov
Boyle
Last 8: Barkov 6-2 Boyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
2
0
Barkov
Boyle
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
0
2
Barkov
Boyle
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barkov
4
0
Barkov
Boyle
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Boyle
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (856)
53.4% (641)
-7.0%
Power Play
45.0% (120)
47.6% (21)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (26)
44.4% (243)
-2.1%
On even strength, Boyle has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyle shoots left. Barkov is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (612).
Barkov shoots left. Boyle is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (570).
Home / Away
Barkov
Boyle
Home
46.7% (561)
51.8% (427)
Away
45.4% (441)
50.0% (478)
By Period
Barkov
Boyle
P1
46.6%
50.7%
P2
48.5%
52.7%
P3
43.2%
49.5%
OT
42.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
41.0%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
46.1%
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2015 | 3 | 12:37 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 3 | 12:14 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 3 | 03:07 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 1 | 07:20 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 1 | 02:01 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 2 | 16:49 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 2 | 07:12 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |