Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Barkov wins 58.0% vs left-shot opponents — Boyle shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.4% vs Boyle 46.2% (+11.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 73.4%
Defensive zone
Boyle 63.9%
Neutral zone
Boyle 53.2%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 63.9%
36.1%
63.9%
Barkov
Boyle
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Barkov
Boyle
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Barkov
Boyle
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Boyle
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (870)
47.6% (290)
+9.4%
Power Play
63.8% (210)
50.0% (4)
+13.8%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (172)
35.2% (71)
+13.1%
On power play, Barkov has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyle shoots left. Barkov is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Barkov shoots left. Boyle is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (238).
Home / Away
Barkov
Boyle
Home
59.2% (557)
44.2% (199)
Away
55.1% (695)
46.4% (166)
By Period
Barkov
Boyle
P1
56.7%
48.6%
P2
54.8%
40.4%
P3
59.7%
46.4%
OT
55.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
59.4%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.9%
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2021 | OT | 03:29 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 1 | 13:36 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |