Scouting Report
Brian Boyle holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Boyle on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 49.3% vs Boyle 50.6% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 62.1%
Defensive zone
Boyle 52.2%
Neutral zone
Barkov 55.3%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 56.6%
56.6%
43.4%
Barkov
Boyle
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Barkov
Boyle
Last 9: Barkov 2-7 Boyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
0
4
Barkov
Boyle
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
2
0
Barkov
Boyle
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boyle
0
3
Barkov
Boyle
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Boyle
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (895)
52.6% (517)
-3.5%
Power Play
49.6% (141)
54.3% (35)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (120)
42.3% (130)
+7.7%
On penalty kill, Barkov has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyle shoots left. Barkov is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Barkov shoots left. Boyle is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (383).
Home / Away
Barkov
Boyle
Home
48.0% (544)
52.4% (315)
Away
50.3% (612)
49.3% (367)
By Period
Barkov
Boyle
P1
44.6%
51.1%
P2
51.4%
52.6%
P3
50.9%
48.3%
OT
69.2%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
49.2%
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2016 | 3 | 13:36 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 3 | 07:45 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 3 | 06:20 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 3 | 05:39 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 1 | 04:46 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 16, 2015 | 3 | 09:36 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 16, 2015 | 3 | 09:19 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 16, 2015 | 1 | 16:25 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 16, 2015 | 1 | 11:44 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |