Aleksander Barkov vs Charlie Coyle
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Barkov wins 59.1% vs right-shot opponents — Coyle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.0% vs Coyle 48.8% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 84.3%
Defensive zone
Coyle 68.5%
Neutral zone
Barkov 51.1%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Barkov
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Barkov
Coyle
Last 7: Barkov 4-3 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
2
0
Barkov
Coyle
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
2
Barkov
Coyle
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Barkov
Coyle
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (704)
49.5% (576)
+6.0%
Power Play
62.3% (247)
54.2% (48)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (75)
43.4% (145)
+3.3%
On power play, Barkov has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Barkov is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (403).
Barkov shoots left. Coyle is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Home / Away
Barkov
Coyle
Home
56.4% (550)
47.4% (409)
Away
56.7% (476)
50.0% (360)
By Period
Barkov
Coyle
P1
56.5%
50.8%
P2
55.5%
46.0%
P3
57.9%
48.4%
OT
50.0%
64.3%
Final 5 min
58.7%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.5%
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 19:00 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 13:46 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 3 | 07:26 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 2 | 16:16 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 2 | 03:32 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 1 | 09:18 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |