Aleksander Barkov vs Christian Dvorak
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.0% vs 53.1%). Look for Dvorak on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 15 meetings). Barkov wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Dvorak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 53.0% vs Dvorak 53.1% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Dvorak leads 22-19 in 41 meetings
Offensive zone
Barkov 64.0%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 57.2%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 52.9%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Barkov
Dvorak
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
22
(41 meetings)
19
22
Barkov
Dvorak
Last 10: Barkov 6-4 Dvorak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
5
7
Barkov
Dvorak
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
6
9
Barkov
Dvorak
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barkov
8
6
Barkov
Dvorak
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Dvorak
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (10,680)
53.0% (6,536)
-0.6%
Power Play
58.1% (2,623)
55.6% (967)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (1,272)
51.5% (866)
-3.7%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dvorak shoots left. Barkov is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,144).
Barkov shoots left. Dvorak is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (5,390).
Home / Away
Barkov
Dvorak
Home
53.8% (7,227)
54.6% (3,995)
Away
52.2% (7,348)
51.8% (4,374)
By Period
Barkov
Dvorak
P1
52.7%
54.4%
P2
53.4%
51.8%
P3
52.9%
53.1%
OT
53.0%
58.6%
Final 5 min
54.5%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
53.0%
Dvorak
52.0%▬
52.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 10:48 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 03:45 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 11:53 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 2 | 05:38 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 00:57 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 2 | 14:23 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 3 | 14:09 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 11:37 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 06:30 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 06:20 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 19:47 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 16:29 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 02:01 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 2 | 07:10 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 1 | 15:28 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 1 | 12:14 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |