Aleksander Barkov vs Christian Dvorak
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.5% vs 55.8%). Look for Barkov on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Barkov wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Dvorak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.0% vs Dvorak 55.3% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 85.2%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 79.7%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 53.7%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Barkov
Dvorak
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Barkov
Dvorak
Last 8: Barkov 5-3 Dvorak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
2
0
Barkov
Dvorak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
0
2
Barkov
Dvorak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barkov
3
1
Barkov
Dvorak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Dvorak
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (704)
56.4% (857)
-0.9%
Power Play
62.3% (247)
69.0% (29)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (75)
50.6% (174)
-3.9%
On power play, Dvorak has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dvorak shoots left. Barkov is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Barkov shoots left. Dvorak is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Home / Away
Barkov
Dvorak
Home
56.4% (550)
55.1% (501)
Away
56.7% (476)
56.4% (559)
By Period
Barkov
Dvorak
P1
56.5%
55.8%
P2
55.5%
52.5%
P3
57.9%
58.2%
OT
50.0%
63.0%
Final 5 min
58.7%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.5%
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 10:48 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 03:45 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 11:53 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 2 | 05:38 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 00:57 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |