Aleksander Barkov vs Derek Stepan
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.9% vs 54.3%). Barkov wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — Stepan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 54.5% vs Stepan 53.4% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 51.2%
Defensive zone
Stepan 56.8%
Neutral zone
Stepan 56.5%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Barkov
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Barkov
Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
2
0
Barkov
Stepan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
0
2
Barkov
Stepan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (863)
55.3% (358)
-2.2%
Power Play
63.4% (276)
0.0% (3)
+63.4%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (193)
50.8% (61)
+0.0%
On power play, Barkov has a +63.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Barkov is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (488).
Barkov shoots left. Stepan is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Home / Away
Barkov
Stepan
Home
58.1% (627)
57.7% (213)
Away
52.1% (705)
50.7% (209)
By Period
Barkov
Stepan
P1
53.3%
56.3%
P2
55.0%
48.9%
P3
56.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
55.5%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
54.9%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2022 | 3 | 08:49 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 2 | 06:40 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 2 | 02:13 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 2 | 00:33 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |