Aleksander Barkov vs Derick Brassard
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Brassard on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 15 meetings). Barkov wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Brassard shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 53.0% vs Brassard 49.1% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Barkov leads 32-26 in 58 meetings
Offensive zone
Barkov 59.4%
Defensive zone
Barkov 68.9%
Neutral zone
Barkov 63.3%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 64.2%
64.2%
35.8%
Barkov
Brassard
Head-to-Head Record
32
-
26
(58 meetings)
32
26
Barkov
Brassard
Last 10: Barkov 3-7 Brassard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
3
12
Barkov
Brassard
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
14
6
Barkov
Brassard
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barkov
15
8
Barkov
Brassard
23 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Brassard
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (10,680)
48.7% (8,464)
+3.7%
Power Play
58.1% (2,623)
52.3% (1,260)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (1,272)
50.3% (179)
-2.5%
On power play, Barkov has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brassard shoots left. Barkov is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,144).
Barkov shoots left. Brassard is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (6,507).
Home / Away
Barkov
Brassard
Home
53.8% (7,227)
50.6% (5,020)
Away
52.2% (7,348)
47.6% (4,901)
By Period
Barkov
Brassard
P1
52.7%
49.0%
P2
53.4%
49.8%
P3
52.9%
48.4%
OT
53.0%
51.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
53.0%
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2023 | 2 | 16:24 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 11:28 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 18:58 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 07:53 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 02:38 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 02:27 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 17:42 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 17:00 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 2 | 19:59 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 1 | 18:46 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 1 | 18:35 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 25, 2019 | 2 | 09:22 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 25, 2019 | 1 | 19:37 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 8, 2019 | 2 | 15:31 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 8, 2019 | 2 | 15:23 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 8, 2019 | 2 | 15:20 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 13:37 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 11:35 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |