Aleksander Barkov vs Derick Brassard
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Brassard on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Barkov wins 58.0% vs left-shot opponents — Brassard shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.4% vs Brassard 50.9% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 64.7%
Defensive zone
Brassard 69.3%
Neutral zone
Brassard 64.1%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 65.9%
34.1%
65.9%
Barkov
Brassard
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Barkov
Brassard
Last 9: Barkov 3-6 Brassard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
0
1
Barkov
Brassard
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
1
2
Barkov
Brassard
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
2
3
Barkov
Brassard
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Brassard
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (870)
50.9% (287)
+6.1%
Power Play
63.8% (210)
53.8% (39)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (172)
50.0% (4)
-1.7%
On power play, Barkov has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brassard shoots left. Barkov is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Barkov shoots left. Brassard is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (220).
Home / Away
Barkov
Brassard
Home
59.2% (557)
52.1% (211)
Away
55.1% (695)
49.6% (119)
By Period
Barkov
Brassard
P1
56.7%
47.3%
P2
54.8%
56.6%
P3
59.7%
47.8%
OT
55.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
59.4%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.9%
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 11:28 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 18:58 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 07:53 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 02:38 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 02:27 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 17:42 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 17:00 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |