Aleksander Barkov vs Dylan Strome
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Barkov wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Strome shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.0% vs Strome 53.4% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 70.0%
Defensive zone
Barkov 66.5%
Neutral zone
Strome 55.9%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 63.9%
36.1%
63.9%
Barkov
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Barkov
Strome
Last 7: Barkov 3-4 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
3
Barkov
Strome
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barkov
2
1
Barkov
Strome
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (704)
52.6% (968)
+2.9%
Power Play
62.3% (247)
56.9% (311)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (75)
62.5% (8)
-15.8%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots left. Barkov is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Barkov shoots left. Strome is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Home / Away
Barkov
Strome
Home
56.4% (550)
53.4% (653)
Away
56.7% (476)
53.9% (634)
By Period
Barkov
Strome
P1
56.5%
49.3%
P2
55.5%
54.6%
P3
57.9%
56.7%
OT
50.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
58.7%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.5%
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 18:21 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 19:35 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 16:55 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 07:16 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 14:55 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 00:16 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 2 | 06:45 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |