Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Barkov wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 54.5% vs Staal 46.6% (+8.7%)
Offensive zone
Barkov 67.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 59.6%
Neutral zone
Staal 56.0%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Barkov
Staal
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (863)
49.6% (565)
+3.5%
Power Play
63.4% (276)
35.0% (20)
+28.4%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (193)
35.4% (158)
+15.4%
On power play, Barkov has a +28.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Barkov is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (844).
Barkov shoots left. Staal is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (475).
Home / Away
Barkov
Staal
Home
58.1% (627)
46.1% (380)
Away
52.1% (705)
46.3% (363)
By Period
Barkov
Staal
P1
53.3%
45.7%
P2
55.0%
46.2%
P3
56.0%
46.5%
Final 5 min
55.5%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
54.9%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%