Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Barkov wins 44.3% vs right-shot opponents — Beagle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 49.3% vs Beagle 57.0% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 78.5%
Defensive zone
Barkov 75.1%
Neutral zone
Barkov 73.5%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 75.2%
75.2%
24.8%
Barkov
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Barkov
Beagle
Last 6: Barkov 1-5 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
1
0
Barkov
Beagle
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
0
3
Barkov
Beagle
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
0
2
Barkov
Beagle
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (895)
58.1% (485)
-9.0%
Power Play
49.6% (141)
84.6% (13)
-35.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (120)
55.4% (139)
-5.4%
On power play, Beagle has a +35.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Barkov is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (406).
Barkov shoots left. Beagle is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Home / Away
Barkov
Beagle
Home
48.0% (544)
57.0% (307)
Away
50.3% (612)
59.1% (330)
By Period
Barkov
Beagle
P1
44.6%
59.1%
P2
51.4%
59.8%
P3
50.9%
56.4%
OT
69.2%
20.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
49.2%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2015 | 3 | 17:52 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 10, 2015 | 2 | 02:34 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 10, 2015 | 1 | 12:08 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 10, 2015 | 1 | 08:52 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 10, 2015 | 1 | 08:35 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 10, 2015 | 1 | 00:28 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |