Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.9% vs 57.1%). Look for Barkov on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Barkov wins 55.5% vs right-shot opponents — Beagle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.4% vs Beagle 55.9% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 77.2%
Defensive zone
Beagle 69.1%
Neutral zone
Barkov 50.3%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Barkov
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Barkov
Beagle
Last 6: Barkov 3-3 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
3
0
Barkov
Beagle
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
0
3
Barkov
Beagle
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (870)
57.2% (353)
-0.2%
Power Play
63.8% (210)
87.5% (16)
-23.7%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (172)
51.6% (95)
-3.3%
On power play, Beagle has a +23.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Barkov is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (533).
Barkov shoots left. Beagle is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Barkov
Beagle
Home
59.2% (557)
62.0% (200)
Away
55.1% (695)
53.4% (264)
By Period
Barkov
Beagle
P1
56.7%
55.8%
P2
54.8%
60.1%
P3
59.7%
54.5%
OT
55.6%
62.5%
Final 5 min
59.4%
63.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.9%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
57.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2021 | 3 | 08:35 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 2 | 14:53 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 2 | 14:40 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 2 | 09:12 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 2 | 03:08 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 1 | 18:22 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |