Aleksander Barkov vs Johan Larsson
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Barkov wins 58.0% vs left-shot opponents — Larsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.4% vs Larsson 46.9% (+10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 94.2%
Defensive zone
Barkov 72.6%
Neutral zone
Barkov 87.9%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 84.8%
84.8%
15.2%
Barkov
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Barkov
Larsson
Last 8: Barkov 7-1 Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
1
0
Barkov
Larsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Barkov
Larsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barkov
5
0
Barkov
Larsson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (870)
46.7% (345)
+10.3%
Power Play
63.8% (210)
61.1% (18)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (172)
39.0% (59)
+9.3%
On even strength, Barkov has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Barkov is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Barkov shoots left. Larsson is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (266).
Home / Away
Barkov
Larsson
Home
59.2% (557)
52.1% (167)
Away
55.1% (695)
42.4% (255)
By Period
Barkov
Larsson
P1
56.7%
50.0%
P2
54.8%
46.7%
P3
59.7%
42.6%
OT
55.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
59.4%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.9%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 2 | 19:29 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 2 | 19:08 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 1 | 18:58 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 1 | 18:13 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 1 | 05:45 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |