Aleksander Barkov vs John Tavares
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on defensive-zone draws (68% H2H, 63 meetings). Barkov wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 53.0% vs Tavares 54.4% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Barkov leads 106-102 in 208 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 52.8%
Defensive zone
Barkov 55.7%
Neutral zone
Tavares 55.9%
Result
John Tavares favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Barkov
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
106
-
102
(208 meetings)
106
102
Barkov
Tavares
Last 10: Barkov 4-6 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
31
42
Barkov
Tavares
73 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
43
20
Barkov
Tavares
63 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
32
40
Barkov
Tavares
72 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (10,680)
54.0% (15,885)
-1.6%
Power Play
58.1% (2,623)
56.5% (4,221)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (1,272)
50.7% (612)
-2.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Barkov is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,144).
Barkov shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,318).
Home / Away
Barkov
Tavares
Home
53.8% (7,227)
56.1% (10,389)
Away
52.2% (7,348)
52.7% (10,358)
By Period
Barkov
Tavares
P1
52.7%
55.1%
P2
53.4%
54.1%
P3
52.9%
54.0%
OT
53.0%
56.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
53.0%
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2025 | 3 | 17:36 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 3 | 18:44 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 1 | 14:42 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 16:47 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 17:46 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 10:55 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 17:41 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 14:57 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 05:36 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 01:05 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 3 | 11:41 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 3 | 08:16 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 2 | 17:04 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 2 | 10:32 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 2 | 00:28 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 3 | 17:33 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 3 | 16:58 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 3 | 15:07 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 3 | 13:02 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 3 | 09:17 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |