Aleksander Barkov vs John Tavares
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Barkov wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.0% vs Tavares 57.7% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Barkov 70.9%
Defensive zone
Tavares 55.1%
Neutral zone
Tavares 50.3%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Barkov
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Barkov
Tavares
Last 10: Barkov 4-6 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
2
Barkov
Tavares
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Barkov
Tavares
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
2
Barkov
Tavares
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (704)
57.7% (998)
-2.2%
Power Play
62.3% (247)
60.5% (271)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (75)
56.4% (39)
-9.7%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Barkov is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Barkov shoots left. Tavares is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (818).
Home / Away
Barkov
Tavares
Home
56.4% (550)
59.7% (610)
Away
56.7% (476)
57.0% (698)
By Period
Barkov
Tavares
P1
56.5%
57.2%
P2
55.5%
58.5%
P3
57.9%
59.4%
OT
50.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
58.7%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.5%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2025 | 3 | 17:36 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 3 | 18:44 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 1 | 14:42 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 16:47 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 17:46 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 10:55 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 17:41 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 14:57 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 05:36 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 01:05 | Offensive | John Tavares |