Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Barkov wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — Okposo shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 54.5% vs Okposo 47.6% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Okposo 52.4%
Defensive zone
Okposo 56.9%
Neutral zone
Okposo 56.5%
Result
Kyle Okposo favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Barkov
Okposo
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Barkov
Okposo
Last 6: Barkov 3-3 Okposo
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Barkov
Okposo
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Okposo
0
1
Barkov
Okposo
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barkov
1
0
Barkov
Okposo
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Okposo
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (863)
48.6% (276)
+4.5%
Power Play
63.4% (276)
46.4% (28)
+17.0%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (193)
37.0% (46)
+13.8%
On power play, Barkov has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Okposo shoots right. Barkov is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (488).
Barkov shoots left. Okposo is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Home / Away
Barkov
Okposo
Home
58.1% (627)
47.4% (156)
Away
52.1% (705)
46.4% (194)
By Period
Barkov
Okposo
P1
53.3%
45.8%
P2
55.0%
50.3%
P3
56.0%
41.4%
OT
60.9%
100.0%
Final 5 min
55.5%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
54.9%
Okposo
48.0%▬
49.0%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2023 | 3 | 15:19 | Offensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 1 | 09:45 | Defensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 3 | 07:31 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 2 | 09:40 | Offensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 03:27 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |