Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Barkov wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Kunin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 54.0% vs Kunin 45.5% (+9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 78.1%
Defensive zone
Kunin 77.2%
Neutral zone
Kunin 51.8%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
Barkov
Kunin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Barkov
Kunin
Last 9: Barkov 4-5 Kunin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
4
1
Barkov
Kunin
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kunin
0
3
Barkov
Kunin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kunin
0
1
Barkov
Kunin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Kunin
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (851)
47.7% (369)
+4.9%
Power Play
60.8% (286)
44.4% (36)
+16.4%
Penalty Kill
47.0% (66)
26.9% (67)
+20.1%
On penalty kill, Barkov has a +20.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kunin shoots right. Barkov is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (427).
Barkov shoots left. Kunin is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (343).
Home / Away
Barkov
Kunin
Home
54.4% (653)
45.3% (223)
Away
54.2% (550)
43.8% (249)
By Period
Barkov
Kunin
P1
52.7%
47.5%
P2
57.6%
44.8%
P3
53.2%
40.8%
OT
35.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
58.5%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
54.3%
Kunin
46.0%▼
53.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2020 | 3 | 14:48 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Jan 20, 2020 | 2 | 02:12 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Jan 20, 2020 | 2 | 02:01 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 2 | 14:17 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 2 | 10:29 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 2 | 07:40 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 1 | 09:21 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 1 | 08:03 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 1 | 04:47 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |