Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Barkov wins 59.1% vs right-shot opponents — Kunin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.0% vs Kunin 47.6% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 77.1%
Defensive zone
Kunin 74.7%
Neutral zone
Kunin 57.3%
Result
Luke Kunin favored at 57.4%
42.6%
57.4%
Barkov
Kunin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Barkov
Kunin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
1
0
Barkov
Kunin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Barkov
Kunin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kunin
0
1
Barkov
Kunin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Kunin
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (704)
46.4% (276)
+9.1%
Power Play
62.3% (247)
50.0% (30)
+12.3%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (75)
47.8% (92)
-1.1%
On power play, Barkov has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kunin shoots right. Barkov is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (403).
Barkov shoots left. Kunin is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (287).
Home / Away
Barkov
Kunin
Home
56.4% (550)
45.9% (194)
Away
56.7% (476)
48.0% (204)
By Period
Barkov
Kunin
P1
56.5%
43.2%
P2
55.5%
46.3%
P3
57.9%
52.1%
Final 5 min
58.7%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.5%
Kunin
46.0%▼
53.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 15:03 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 19:05 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 03:20 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 11:46 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |