Aleksander Barkov vs Matt Duchene
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Barkov wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.0% vs Duchene 52.1% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 66.8%
Defensive zone
Duchene 68.1%
Neutral zone
Duchene 55.2%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Barkov
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Barkov
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Barkov
Duchene
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (704)
53.0% (723)
+2.5%
Power Play
62.3% (247)
49.5% (101)
+12.8%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (75)
43.8% (16)
+2.9%
On power play, Barkov has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Barkov is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Barkov shoots left. Duchene is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (517).
Home / Away
Barkov
Duchene
Home
56.4% (550)
54.9% (408)
Away
56.7% (476)
50.0% (432)
By Period
Barkov
Duchene
P1
56.5%
52.5%
P2
55.5%
51.7%
P3
57.9%
53.6%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
58.7%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.5%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 05:21 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 3 | 11:24 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |