Aleksander Barkov vs Michael McLeod
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Barkov wins 59.0% vs right-shot opponents — McLeod shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.7% vs McLeod 63.0% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 78.3%
Defensive zone
McLeod 71.2%
Neutral zone
Barkov 54.1%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Barkov
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Barkov
McLeod
Last 9: Barkov 4-5 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
4
0
Barkov
McLeod
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
3
Barkov
McLeod
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Barkov
McLeod
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (740)
64.8% (509)
-7.9%
Power Play
63.3% (256)
68.4% (19)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (104)
65.3% (124)
-20.1%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +20.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. Barkov is 59.0% vs right-shot opponents (481).
Barkov shoots left. McLeod is 66.7% vs left-shot opponents (496).
Home / Away
Barkov
McLeod
Home
57.4% (540)
64.3% (308)
Away
57.1% (560)
65.7% (344)
By Period
Barkov
McLeod
P1
57.6%
62.9%
P2
56.6%
64.8%
P3
56.9%
67.9%
OT
72.2%
37.5%
Final 5 min
57.3%
66.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
57.3%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
65.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 17:40 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 17:27 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 14:27 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 17:32 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 08:31 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 3 | 17:37 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 3 | 00:17 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 2 | 16:48 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 1 | 15:18 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |