Aleksander Barkov vs Nick Foligno
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Barkov wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.0% vs Foligno 48.6% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 76.7%
Defensive zone
Foligno 73.1%
Neutral zone
Foligno 52.9%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 58.0%
58.0%
42.0%
Barkov
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Barkov
Foligno
Last 8: Barkov 4-4 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
4
1
Barkov
Foligno
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
3
Barkov
Foligno
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (704)
48.7% (495)
+6.8%
Power Play
62.3% (247)
56.9% (65)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (75)
43.8% (144)
+2.9%
On even strength, Barkov has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Barkov is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Barkov shoots left. Foligno is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Home / Away
Barkov
Foligno
Home
56.4% (550)
49.6% (359)
Away
56.7% (476)
47.2% (345)
By Period
Barkov
Foligno
P1
56.5%
46.7%
P2
55.5%
52.7%
P3
57.9%
46.7%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
58.7%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.5%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2025 | 3 | 09:14 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 2 | 15:21 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 1 | 02:43 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 12:22 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 00:38 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 2 | 13:04 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 2 | 10:34 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 2 | 00:56 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |