Aleksander Barkov vs Nicklas Backstrom
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on offensive-zone draws (72% H2H, 29 meetings). Barkov wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 53.0% vs Backstrom 50.5% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Backstrom leads 76-51 in 127 meetings
Offensive zone
Backstrom 61.5%
Defensive zone
Backstrom 59.6%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 58.0%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 59.2%
40.8%
59.2%
Barkov
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
51
-
76
(127 meetings)
51
76
Barkov
Backstrom
Last 10: Barkov 4-6 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
8
21
Barkov
Backstrom
29 total
Defensive Zone
Even
18
18
Barkov
Backstrom
36 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
25
37
Barkov
Backstrom
62 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (10,680)
50.4% (11,581)
+2.0%
Power Play
58.1% (2,623)
52.3% (1,895)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (1,272)
47.0% (889)
+0.8%
On power play, Barkov has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Barkov is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,144).
Barkov shoots left. Backstrom is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (8,966).
Home / Away
Barkov
Backstrom
Home
53.8% (7,227)
52.6% (7,223)
Away
52.2% (7,348)
48.4% (7,173)
By Period
Barkov
Backstrom
P1
52.7%
50.1%
P2
53.4%
49.7%
P3
52.9%
51.6%
OT
53.0%
52.9%
Final 5 min
54.5%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
53.0%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 06:22 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 17:53 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 07:41 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 02:25 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 2 | 07:20 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 3 | 06:49 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 3 | 04:37 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 2 | 18:37 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 2 | 14:55 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 2 | 12:08 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 2 | 05:52 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 2 | 05:38 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 3 | 17:39 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 3 | 15:36 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 3 | 00:16 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |