Aleksander Barkov vs Pontus Holmberg
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Barkov wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Holmberg shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.0% vs Holmberg 49.1% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 94.0%
Defensive zone
Barkov 61.1%
Neutral zone
Barkov 70.4%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 84.6%
84.6%
15.4%
Barkov
Holmberg
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Barkov
Holmberg
Last 5: Barkov 4-1 Holmberg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
3
0
Barkov
Holmberg
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Barkov
Holmberg
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Holmberg
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (704)
49.0% (245)
+6.5%
Power Play
62.3% (247)
33.3% (3)
+29.0%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (75)
48.6% (37)
-1.9%
On power play, Barkov has a +29.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holmberg shoots left. Barkov is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Barkov shoots left. Holmberg is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Barkov
Holmberg
Home
56.4% (550)
50.3% (147)
Away
56.7% (476)
47.1% (138)
By Period
Barkov
Holmberg
P1
56.5%
59.2%
P2
55.5%
40.0%
P3
57.9%
46.9%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
58.7%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.5%
Holmberg
40.0%▼
46.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2025 | 2 | 12:41 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 15:27 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 07:34 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 17:22 | Neutral | Pontus Holmberg |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 14:44 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |