Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Barkov wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 53.5% vs Nash 46.2% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 76.5%
Defensive zone
Barkov 58.9%
Neutral zone
Barkov 57.2%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 73.0%
73.0%
27.0%
Barkov
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Barkov
Nash
Last 5: Barkov 3-2 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
3
1
Barkov
Nash
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
1
Barkov
Nash
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (1,377)
46.1% (306)
+8.4%
Power Play
54.7% (340)
16.7% (6)
+38.0%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (222)
38.1% (21)
+9.2%
On power play, Barkov has a +38.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Barkov is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (717).
Barkov shoots left. Nash is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (230).
Home / Away
Barkov
Nash
Home
54.5% (948)
46.5% (157)
Away
52.9% (991)
43.8% (176)
By Period
Barkov
Nash
P1
55.2%
47.7%
P2
54.2%
39.8%
P3
52.3%
47.2%
Final 5 min
55.2%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
53.7%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2018 | 3 | 10:19 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 3 | 07:05 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 2 | 19:34 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 1 | 15:14 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 1 | 14:31 | Offensive | Riley Nash |