Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on offensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 54.4% vs Nash 49.8% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Barkov leads 17-10 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Barkov 90.7%
Defensive zone
Nash 62.3%
Neutral zone
Barkov 70.0%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 68.0%
68.0%
32.0%
Barkov
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
10
(27 meetings)
17
10
Barkov
Nash
Last 10: Barkov 5-5 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
12
1
Barkov
Nash
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
4
6
Barkov
Nash
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
1
3
Barkov
Nash
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (724)
51.2% (283)
+1.8%
Power Play
62.6% (235)
50.0% (2)
+12.6%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (67)
39.0% (41)
+8.8%
On power play, Barkov has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Barkov is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (348).
Barkov shoots left. Nash is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (252).
Home / Away
Barkov
Nash
Home
56.1% (522)
50.6% (178)
Away
53.6% (504)
48.6% (148)
By Period
Barkov
Nash
P1
52.3%
46.8%
P2
56.8%
45.5%
P3
55.3%
56.4%
OT
55.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.5%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
54.9%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2021 | 1 | 16:11 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 1 | 06:02 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 1 | 03:58 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 1 | 17:26 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 3 | 13:07 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 2 | 19:08 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 2 | 06:00 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 2 | 00:05 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 1 | 16:41 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 1 | 06:28 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 1 | 03:38 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 3 | 07:07 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 3 | 06:56 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 3 | 02:43 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 2 | 01:56 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 1 | 02:00 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 3 | 17:23 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 3 | 17:18 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 3 | 04:02 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |