Aleksander Barkov vs Robert Thomas
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on defensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Barkov wins 59.1% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.0% vs Thomas 54.5% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 11-10 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Barkov 66.3%
Defensive zone
Thomas 67.9%
Neutral zone
Thomas 58.2%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Barkov
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
11
(21 meetings)
10
11
Barkov
Thomas
Last 10: Barkov 6-4 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
4
3
Barkov
Thomas
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
3
7
Barkov
Thomas
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barkov
3
1
Barkov
Thomas
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (704)
55.3% (990)
+0.2%
Power Play
62.3% (247)
54.2% (190)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (75)
52.5% (158)
-5.8%
On power play, Barkov has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Barkov is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (403).
Barkov shoots left. Thomas is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (994).
Home / Away
Barkov
Thomas
Home
56.4% (550)
55.1% (690)
Away
56.7% (476)
54.5% (648)
By Period
Barkov
Thomas
P1
56.5%
55.5%
P2
55.5%
56.4%
P3
57.9%
51.5%
OT
50.0%
69.0%
Final 5 min
58.7%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.5%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 19:52 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 19:31 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 14:07 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 09:27 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:51 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 08:55 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 07:29 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 04:16 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 1 | 07:46 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 1 | 06:05 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 1 | 02:46 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 20, 2024 | OT | 04:17 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 20, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 3 | 18:34 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 3 | 13:30 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 3 | 00:19 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 2 | 16:54 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 2 | 14:29 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 2 | 10:48 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 2 | 06:12 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |