Aleksander Barkov vs Ryan Carpenter
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on offensive-zone draws (93% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 53.0% vs Carpenter 48.5% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Barkov leads 16-7 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Barkov 95.7%
Defensive zone
Barkov 71.4%
Neutral zone
Barkov 76.4%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 87.3%
87.3%
12.7%
Barkov
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
7
(23 meetings)
16
7
Barkov
Carpenter
Last 10: Barkov 7-3 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
13
1
Barkov
Carpenter
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
1
3
Barkov
Carpenter
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carpenter
2
3
Barkov
Carpenter
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (10,680)
49.6% (2,027)
+2.8%
Power Play
58.1% (2,623)
41.5% (41)
+16.6%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (1,272)
43.9% (467)
+3.9%
On power play, Barkov has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Barkov is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (5,431).
Barkov shoots left. Carpenter is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,840).
Home / Away
Barkov
Carpenter
Home
53.8% (7,227)
51.2% (1,290)
Away
52.2% (7,348)
45.5% (1,245)
By Period
Barkov
Carpenter
P1
52.7%
49.6%
P2
53.4%
47.7%
P3
52.9%
48.0%
OT
53.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
54.5%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
53.0%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2023 | 2 | 02:57 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 2 | 19:11 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 1 | 06:42 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 1 | 03:41 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 3 | 14:32 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 1 | 16:07 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 17, 2021 | 3 | 01:42 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 17, 2021 | 2 | 13:16 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 17, 2021 | 2 | 03:03 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 3 | 14:27 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 3 | 09:17 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 2 | 09:51 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 2 | 08:09 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 1 | 15:36 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 1 | 09:02 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Jan 21, 2020 | 3 | 04:10 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 21, 2020 | 3 | 04:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 21, 2020 | 2 | 18:23 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 21, 2020 | 2 | 11:47 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 21, 2020 | 1 | 15:01 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |