Aleksander Barkov vs Sam Lafferty
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Barkov wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 54.5% vs Lafferty 50.9% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 70.4%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 62.0%
Neutral zone
Barkov 52.0%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Barkov
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Barkov
Lafferty
Last 5: Barkov 3-2 Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
2
0
Barkov
Lafferty
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Barkov
Lafferty
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lafferty
0
1
Barkov
Lafferty
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (863)
52.2% (366)
+0.9%
Power Play
63.4% (276)
60.0% (15)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (193)
46.2% (104)
+4.6%
On penalty kill, Barkov has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Barkov is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (488).
Barkov shoots left. Lafferty is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (363).
Home / Away
Barkov
Lafferty
Home
58.1% (627)
53.1% (258)
Away
52.1% (705)
48.9% (227)
By Period
Barkov
Lafferty
P1
53.3%
52.5%
P2
55.0%
49.7%
P3
56.0%
51.3%
OT
60.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
55.5%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
54.9%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2023 | 2 | 17:15 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 18:31 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 13:07 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 2 | 02:11 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 08:45 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |