Aleksander Barkov vs Sebastian Aho
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on neutral-zone draws (77% H2H, 26 meetings). Barkov wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 53.0% vs Aho 51.2% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Barkov leads 59-33 in 92 meetings
Offensive zone
Barkov 66.1%
Defensive zone
Barkov 82.6%
Neutral zone
Barkov 73.3%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 74.0%
74.0%
26.0%
Barkov
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
59
-
33
(92 meetings)
59
33
Barkov
Aho
Last 10: Barkov 9-1 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
16
17
Barkov
Aho
33 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
23
10
Barkov
Aho
33 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barkov
20
6
Barkov
Aho
26 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (10,680)
50.1% (6,619)
+2.3%
Power Play
58.1% (2,623)
58.9% (1,310)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (1,272)
46.3% (464)
+1.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Barkov is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,144).
Barkov shoots left. Aho is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (5,305).
Home / Away
Barkov
Aho
Home
53.8% (7,227)
52.4% (4,308)
Away
52.2% (7,348)
50.1% (4,085)
By Period
Barkov
Aho
P1
52.7%
51.1%
P2
53.4%
52.0%
P3
52.9%
50.7%
OT
53.0%
48.9%
Final 5 min
54.5%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
53.0%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 18:38 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 12:30 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 06:12 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 06:33 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 02:21 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 19:11 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 09:44 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 17:17 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 16:51 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 04:45 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 12:00 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 1 | 05:13 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 04:45 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 2 | 07:08 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 1 | 09:21 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 15:56 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 08:21 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 08:18 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 3 | 00:50 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |