Aleksander Barkov vs Steven Lorentz
2020-21 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Lorentz on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Barkov wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 54.4% vs Lorentz 50.9% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 51.8%
Defensive zone
Lorentz 59.5%
Neutral zone
Lorentz 58.9%
Result
Steven Lorentz favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Barkov
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Barkov
Lorentz
Last 7: Barkov 3-4 Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lorentz
1
2
Barkov
Lorentz
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Barkov
Lorentz
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Barkov
Lorentz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (724)
51.7% (292)
+1.3%
Power Play
62.6% (235)
40.0% (10)
+22.6%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (67)
42.9% (7)
+4.9%
On power play, Barkov has a +22.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Barkov is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (678).
Barkov shoots left. Lorentz is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (203).
Home / Away
Barkov
Lorentz
Home
56.1% (522)
52.3% (155)
Away
53.6% (504)
50.0% (154)
By Period
Barkov
Lorentz
P1
52.3%
59.2%
P2
56.8%
50.9%
P3
55.3%
43.2%
Final 5 min
53.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
54.9%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 16:45 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 13:32 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 3 | 04:20 | Offensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 1 | 08:17 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 2 | 07:09 | Offensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 3 | 10:48 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 2 | 06:17 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |