Aleksander Barkov vs Steven Lorentz
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Lorentz on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Barkov wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 53.0% vs Lorentz 48.6% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Lorentz leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Barkov 58.1%
Defensive zone
Lorentz 60.8%
Neutral zone
Lorentz 51.4%
Result
Steven Lorentz favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Barkov
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Barkov
Lorentz
Last 10: Barkov 5-5 Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lorentz
1
3
Barkov
Lorentz
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lorentz
1
2
Barkov
Lorentz
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barkov
3
1
Barkov
Lorentz
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (10,680)
48.9% (1,118)
+3.5%
Power Play
58.1% (2,623)
50.0% (26)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (1,272)
41.9% (86)
+5.9%
On power play, Barkov has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Barkov is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,144).
Barkov shoots left. Lorentz is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Home / Away
Barkov
Lorentz
Home
53.8% (7,227)
50.8% (606)
Away
52.2% (7,348)
46.2% (624)
By Period
Barkov
Lorentz
P1
52.7%
53.0%
P2
53.4%
46.8%
P3
52.9%
46.1%
OT
53.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
53.0%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 02:43 | Offensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 14:02 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 13:43 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 16:45 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 13:32 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 3 | 04:20 | Offensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 1 | 08:17 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 2 | 07:09 | Offensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 3 | 10:48 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 2 | 06:17 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |