Aleksander Barkov vs Steven Stamkos
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (61% H2H, 54 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 53.0% vs Stamkos 51.0% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 89-68 in 157 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 55.4%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 55.1%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 55.9%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Barkov
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
68
-
89
(157 meetings)
68
89
Barkov
Stamkos
Last 10: Barkov 5-5 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
21
33
Barkov
Stamkos
54 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
27
32
Barkov
Stamkos
59 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
20
24
Barkov
Stamkos
44 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (10,680)
50.4% (9,796)
+2.0%
Power Play
58.1% (2,623)
55.1% (1,723)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (1,272)
49.7% (825)
-1.9%
On power play, Barkov has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Barkov is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (5,431).
Barkov shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,778).
Home / Away
Barkov
Stamkos
Home
53.8% (7,227)
52.7% (6,248)
Away
52.2% (7,348)
49.2% (6,122)
By Period
Barkov
Stamkos
P1
52.7%
49.1%
P2
53.4%
52.7%
P3
52.9%
50.9%
OT
53.0%
54.3%
Final 5 min
54.5%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
53.0%
Stamkos
56.0%▲
54.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 15:34 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 00:49 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 09:26 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 05:16 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 13:10 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 12:30 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 04:58 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 18:05 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 17:48 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 13:35 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 10:22 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 06:51 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 17:50 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 14:33 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 09:42 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 14:26 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 05:07 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 04:03 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 10:14 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 1 | 10:37 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |