Aleksander Barkov vs Steven Stamkos
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Barkov wins 59.1% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.0% vs Stamkos 49.9% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 51.9%
Defensive zone
Barkov 63.9%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 50.4%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Barkov
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Barkov
Stamkos
Last 7: Barkov 4-3 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
2
0
Barkov
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
2
3
Barkov
Stamkos
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (704)
49.3% (670)
+6.2%
Power Play
62.3% (247)
53.7% (121)
+8.6%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (75)
33.3% (3)
+13.4%
On penalty kill, Barkov has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Barkov is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (403).
Barkov shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (610).
Home / Away
Barkov
Stamkos
Home
56.4% (550)
54.0% (400)
Away
56.7% (476)
45.7% (394)
By Period
Barkov
Stamkos
P1
56.5%
48.6%
P2
55.5%
54.5%
P3
57.9%
45.4%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
58.7%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.5%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 15:34 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 00:49 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 09:26 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 05:16 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 13:10 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 12:30 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 04:58 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |