Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stützle on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Barkov wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Stützle shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.7% vs Stützle 47.2% (+10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 66.1%
Defensive zone
Stützle 71.4%
Neutral zone
Stützle 55.5%
Result
Tim Stützle favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Barkov
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Barkov
Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stützle
1
2
Barkov
Stützle
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (740)
45.3% (468)
+11.6%
Power Play
63.3% (256)
62.5% (24)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (104)
60.0% (20)
-14.8%
On penalty kill, Stützle has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Barkov is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Barkov shoots left. Stützle is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Barkov
Stützle
Home
57.4% (540)
46.3% (270)
Away
57.1% (560)
47.1% (242)
By Period
Barkov
Stützle
P1
57.6%
46.1%
P2
56.6%
45.8%
P3
56.9%
48.2%
OT
72.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.3%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
57.3%
Stützle
54.0%▲
50.5%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2024 | 3 | 05:36 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 2 | 09:51 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |