Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 48.7%). Look for Bozak on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 49.0% vs Bozak 48.8% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Barkov 62.3%
Defensive zone
Bozak 61.0%
Neutral zone
Barkov 54.8%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Barkov
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Barkov
Bozak
Last 10: Barkov 3-7 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
6
Barkov
Bozak
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barkov
3
1
Barkov
Bozak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (673)
48.8% (1,036)
-1.1%
Power Play
54.1% (133)
53.8% (225)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (13)
39.1% (138)
+14.7%
On penalty kill, Barkov has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Barkov is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (261).
Barkov shoots left. Bozak is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (916).
Home / Away
Barkov
Bozak
Home
50.9% (407)
50.8% (608)
Away
46.8% (412)
47.0% (791)
By Period
Barkov
Bozak
P1
49.6%
48.0%
P2
48.4%
48.1%
P3
49.6%
49.8%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
48.8%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2014 | 3 | 13:22 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 1 | 18:05 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 1 | 16:05 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 1 | 11:26 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 1 | 07:07 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 1 | 06:56 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 1 | 06:43 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 1 | 04:28 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 1 | 02:27 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |