Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Barkov wins 55.5% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.4% vs Bozak 46.2% (+11.7%)
Offensive zone
Barkov 67.4%
Defensive zone
Bozak 58.9%
Neutral zone
Bozak 57.2%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Barkov
Bozak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (870)
46.7% (338)
+10.3%
Power Play
63.8% (210)
50.0% (6)
+13.8%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (172)
32.6% (43)
+15.7%
On penalty kill, Barkov has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Barkov is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (533).
Barkov shoots left. Bozak is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (247).
Home / Away
Barkov
Bozak
Home
59.2% (557)
47.9% (194)
Away
55.1% (695)
42.5% (193)
By Period
Barkov
Bozak
P1
56.7%
40.2%
P2
54.8%
51.4%
P3
59.7%
43.1%
OT
55.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
59.4%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.9%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
45.2%