Aleksander Barkov vs Tyler Seguin
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.9% vs 54.7%). Look for Barkov on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Barkov wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 54.5% vs Seguin 54.2% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 50.7%
Defensive zone
Barkov 55.5%
Neutral zone
Seguin 50.7%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Barkov
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Barkov
Seguin
Last 5: Barkov 4-1 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
1
0
Barkov
Seguin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Barkov
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barkov
3
0
Barkov
Seguin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (863)
55.0% (713)
-1.9%
Power Play
63.4% (276)
56.7% (104)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (193)
47.2% (53)
+3.6%
On power play, Barkov has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Barkov is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (488).
Barkov shoots left. Seguin is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Barkov
Seguin
Home
58.1% (627)
56.2% (443)
Away
52.1% (705)
53.2% (427)
By Period
Barkov
Seguin
P1
53.3%
54.2%
P2
55.0%
52.9%
P3
56.0%
57.1%
OT
60.9%
60.0%
Final 5 min
55.5%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
54.9%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2023 | 3 | 06:32 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 3 | 01:58 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 2 | 06:12 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 1 | 17:10 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |