Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Barkov wins 58.0% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.4% vs Rask 50.4% (+6.3%)
Offensive zone
Rask 57.3%
Defensive zone
Barkov 52.7%
Neutral zone
Rask 52.5%
Result
Victor Rask favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Barkov
Rask
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (870)
50.6% (172)
+6.4%
Power Play
63.8% (210)
50.0% (4)
+13.8%
On power play, Barkov has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Barkov is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Barkov shoots left. Rask is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (111).
Home / Away
Barkov
Rask
Home
59.2% (557)
53.7% (82)
Away
55.1% (695)
47.9% (94)
By Period
Barkov
Rask
P1
56.7%
56.0%
P2
54.8%
47.5%
P3
59.7%
49.3%
Final 5 min
59.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.9%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
50.6%