Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Belzile on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Belzile wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Coyle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Belzile 47.9% vs Coyle 52.4% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 59.8%
Defensive zone
Coyle 76.9%
Neutral zone
Coyle 67.5%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 67.8%
32.2%
67.8%
Belzile
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Belzile
Coyle
Last 7: Belzile 6-1 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Belzile
1
0
Belzile
Coyle
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Belzile
1
0
Belzile
Coyle
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Belzile
4
1
Belzile
Coyle
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Belzile
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (191)
52.7% (849)
-4.5%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
66.7% (39)
-33.4%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (11)
48.1% (131)
-20.8%
On power play, Coyle has a +33.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Belzile is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (66).
Belzile shoots right. Coyle is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Belzile
Coyle
Home
53.3% (107)
53.3% (512)
Away
39.8% (98)
51.9% (507)
By Period
Belzile
Coyle
P1
42.9%
53.8%
P2
46.6%
47.8%
P3
51.4%
56.7%
Final 5 min
46.8%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Belzile
54.0%▲
48.0%
46.8%
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 12:28 | Defensive | Alex Belzile |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 12:16 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 3 | 19:11 | Neutral | Alex Belzile |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 3 | 09:45 | Neutral | Alex Belzile |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 14:12 | Neutral | Alex Belzile |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 09:11 | Neutral | Alex Belzile |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 12:32 | Offensive | Alex Belzile |