Scouting Report
Joel Ward holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Belzile wins 45.1% vs right-shot opponents — Ward shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Belzile 48.0% vs Ward 48.4% (-1.2%)
Offensive zone
Ward 57.0%
Defensive zone
Ward 51.5%
Neutral zone
Ward 54.3%
Result
Joel Ward favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Belzile
Ward
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Belzile
Ward
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (213)
51.3% (1,186)
-2.9%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
53.4% (238)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (12)
35.5% (366)
-10.5%
On penalty kill, Ward has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ward shoots right. Belzile is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (71).
Belzile shoots right. Ward is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Belzile
Ward
Home
53.7% (123)
50.3% (870)
Away
39.6% (106)
46.5% (921)
By Period
Belzile
Ward
P1
43.5%
47.6%
P2
47.5%
47.5%
P3
50.6%
50.3%
Final 5 min
49.1%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Belzile
54.0%▲
48.0%
47.2%
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.4%