Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Belzile 48.0% vs Stastny 55.1% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 83.1%
Defensive zone
Stastny 58.3%
Neutral zone
Stastny 70.8%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 73.2%
26.8%
73.2%
Belzile
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Belzile
Stastny
Last 5: Belzile 3-2 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Belzile
Stastny
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Belzile
1
0
Belzile
Stastny
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Belzile
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Belzile
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (213)
54.6% (10,616)
-6.2%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
59.1% (1,994)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (12)
52.9% (1,119)
-27.9%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +27.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Belzile is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (158).
Belzile shoots right. Stastny is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,907).
Home / Away
Belzile
Stastny
Home
53.7% (123)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
39.6% (106)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Belzile
Stastny
P1
43.5%
56.3%
P2
47.5%
55.4%
P3
50.6%
53.5%
Final 5 min
49.1%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Belzile
54.0%▲
48.0%
47.2%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 10:02 | Defensive | Alex Belzile |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 12:44 | Offensive | Alex Belzile |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 16:16 | Neutral | Alex Belzile |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 3 | 19:40 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 1 | 13:24 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |