Scouting Report
Brandon Saad holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Chiasson wins 39.4% vs left-shot opponents — Saad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chiasson 39.8% vs Saad 42.8% (-5.3%)
Offensive zone
Chiasson 52.9%
Defensive zone
Saad 57.4%
Neutral zone
Chiasson 51.5%
Result
Brandon Saad favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Chiasson
Saad
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chiasson
Saad
Edge
Even Strength
34.3% (213)
40.6% (529)
-6.3%
Power Play
43.1% (72)
49.6% (113)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (22)
38.2% (68)
-1.8%
On power play, Saad has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Saad shoots left. Chiasson is 39.4% vs left-shot opponents (231).
Chiasson shoots right. Saad is 40.4% vs right-shot opponents (277).
Home / Away
Chiasson
Saad
Home
36.0% (150)
42.5% (367)
Away
36.9% (157)
41.1% (343)
By Period
Chiasson
Saad
P1
42.3%
41.9%
P2
33.3%
41.2%
P3
34.5%
43.1%
OT
0.0%
36.4%
Final 5 min
35.7%
38.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chiasson
30.0%▼
32.0%
36.5%
Saad
28.0%▼
37.5%
41.8%