Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (36.5% vs 36.2%). Chiasson wins 27.6% vs right-shot opponents — Atkinson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chiasson 39.8% vs Atkinson 39.7% (+0.3%)
Offensive zone
Chiasson 63.7%
Defensive zone
Atkinson 50.7%
Neutral zone
Atkinson 52.4%
Result
Alex Chiasson favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Chiasson
Atkinson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chiasson
Atkinson
Edge
Even Strength
34.3% (213)
35.9% (237)
-1.6%
Power Play
43.1% (72)
43.5% (23)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (22)
33.3% (30)
+3.1%
On penalty kill, Chiasson has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Atkinson shoots right. Chiasson is 27.6% vs right-shot opponents (76).
Chiasson shoots right. Atkinson is 28.7% vs right-shot opponents (108).
Home / Away
Chiasson
Atkinson
Home
36.0% (150)
37.3% (142)
Away
36.9% (157)
35.1% (148)
By Period
Chiasson
Atkinson
P1
42.3%
35.1%
P2
33.3%
33.8%
P3
34.5%
39.3%
OT
0.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
35.7%
32.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chiasson
30.0%▼
32.0%
36.5%
Atkinson
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.2%